Cold weather really can make you sick

122 Comments
Posted December 5th, 2008 in Biology. Tags: , , .

My mother always tells me to bundle up before I go outside during the winter, because otherwise I’ll “catch a cold.” When I first learned about the germ theory of disease, I thought she was wrong. Cold doesn’t make you sick, I thought. Germs make you sick.

Recently, it’s become obvious that I was wrong and she was right. Germs are responsible for disease, but it’s crucial to remember that germs are everywhere. Our immune systems are constantly fighting these microscopic invaders. In fact, we’re probably infected with the common cold to some extent even when we don’t show any symptoms.

During the flu season of 2005, an experiment was performed to test the idea that being cold can make you sick. 90 people kept their feet in a bowl of ice water for 20 minutes, while a control group of 90 people put their feet in an empty bowl for 20 minutes. Over the next 5 days, 29% of the group with chilled feet developed cold symptoms, compared to only 9% of the control group.

Professor Eccles explained this effect by saying that our bodies restrict blood flow to the extremities when we get cold to help conserve body heat for the torso and brain, which really need to be warm. Cutting off the blood flow reduces the supply of white blood cells which are the immune system’s primary weapon against germs.

While his explanation makes sense, there may be a more general effect at work. The human body is a machine that accepts fuel in the form of food, and uses that fuel’s energy to keep us warm and to power our immune systems, muscles and brains. However, in frigid conditions our bodies have probably evolved to say “who cares if I might get sick tomorrow when I might die of hypothermia in an hour?”

In other words, the optimal survival strategy during bitterly cold conditions is probably to divert energy normally used by the immune system into keeping our bodies warm. Mammals whose bodies didn’t make this sacrifice weren’t as susceptible to disease in the long run, but that didn’t matter because they dropped dead of hypothermia before they could enjoy their good health. So that survival strategy would be eliminated by natural selection.

Anyway, the point is I was wrong, and my mother was right. Sorry, Mom!

Last modified October 2nd, 2013
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122 Responses to “Cold weather really can make you sick”

  1. DrVomact posted on 2008-12-27 at 19:24

    I was always pretty much with your mother on that. It’s pretty obvious that there’s no more reason to get a cold in the winter than the summer, if all you’ve got to go on is Pasteur.

    But some seasonal diseases are still hard to explain. For example, why do flu epidemics come mostly in the winter? Moreover, why are there successive waves of mutated flu viruses that sweep around the world each winter?

    My personal favorite explanation has always been the Pigs in the House theory. (Ok, maybe it’s my favorite because I made it up.) That is, when it gets cold, people bring farm animals into their houses, or barns immediately adjacent to their houses. This allows the viruses that like to migrate between humans and domestic animals to start an infection cycle that then sweeps the world, thanks to modern methods of rapid travel. Of course, people in the U.S. and Europe don’t bring their animals into their houses when it gets cold any more…but people in poorer, more backward countries–like China–do. That’s why flu epidemics come from “Asia”. Well, it makes as much sense to me as any other explanation I’ve ever heard.

    • DrVomact posted on 2008-12-27 at 19:25

      To reply to my own comment…do flu epidemics come in the “summer” (i.e. same time as our winter) in the Southern Hemisphere…or do they coincide with colder weather. Facts are urgently needed here…

      • According to the Wikipedia article on the flu season, there are actually two flu seasons each year for the Northern and Southern winters. In fact, the World Health Organization produces two different vaccines every year– one for each flu season.

        I thought the winter flu season could be explained by a combination of my “energy diverted from immune system to body heat” idea and the fact that people stay indoors more in the winter, allowing viruses to spread more easily. Lower humidity during the winter may be a factor too. Now that you mention it, Pigs in the House probably plays a role in less developed countries. But your question got me thinking, so I did some googling that led me to this article which reports on research performed in March 2008.

        Apparently, the influenza virus which causes the flu has a special protein coat (a protective “shell” around the infectious DNA “payload” of the virus). This special protein coat is stable even at low temperatures which allows the virus to survive even in frigid temperatures. Once the virus is inhaled, the protein coat gently melts in the throat and releases the virus.

    • Anonymous posted on 2009-12-17 at 22:08

      Just because a culture is different does not mean they are “backward”.

    • Jimmy posted on 2011-11-06 at 22:23

      Vomact – You might want to check some leading research journals to see how a “backward” country is collaborating with other nations on leading research into the cold and other viral infections. With your “backward” view, seems you’re the pig in this house.

      • Ms Piggy posted on 2013-02-18 at 01:02

        Jimmy why so sensitive? Read the story The Three Little Pigs and you will find comfort and solace.

  2. Anon posted on 2008-12-30 at 14:16

    I have not read the details of the experimental method used by Professor Eccles, but it does not seem very rigorous.

    Immersing the feet in ice water would only reduce the temperature of the feet (and perhaps the lower leg), but not the core body temperature. The site of infection is in the throat and sinuses (extending to the chest if severe), but the temperature here is not going to be affected by cold feet. On a cold day however, the chilly air would cool these parts of the body – though how much is significant is unknown – not the feet.

    “Cutting off the blood flow reduces the supply of white blood cells which are the immune system’s primary weapon against germs” – this is fundamentally wrong – the blood flow is not “cut off” – it is redirected to the torso – the number of white cells remains unchanged, as does the ability to fight infection.

    While it is true that metabolic rate decreases with decreased temperature (just like all chemical reactions) this decline is not significant at the range of body temperatures viable with life – normal body temperature is 37C – hypothermia is set at 35C and very few survive a fall to 32C (except those on bypass having heart surgery)

    The fact that transmission of the cold and flu viruses is higher in cold seasons, is thought to be mainly due to the increased crowding of people in buildings and public transport (unwilling to go out). In addition, rather than being “stable even at low temperatures” it is more accurate to say that they are LESS stable at HIGHER temperatures

    • Anonymous posted on 2009-01-02 at 12:31

      Immersing the feet in ice water would only reduce the temperature of the feet (and perhaps the lower leg), but not the core body temperature.

      By decreasing the temperature of any extremity for a period of time you would decrease the core temperature.

      The site of infection is in the throat and sinuses (extending to the chest if severe), but the temperature here is not going to be affected by cold feet.

      While an infection may manifest in a particular area, you will find that the infectious agent is present in other areas of the body. It just happens that the majority of the infection is localized to a particular area.

      this is fundamentally wrong – the blood flow is not “cut off” – it is redirected to the torso – the number of white cells remains unchanged, as does the ability to fight infection.

      So you’re saying that a significant diversion of blood flow does not mean “cut off”. I’m fine with that, but a a significant diversion of blood flow directly impacts the population of white blood cells in an area in the body. Semantics.

      The fact that transmission of the cold and flu viruses is higher in cold seasons, is thought to be mainly due to the increased crowding of people in buildings and public transport (unwilling to go out).

      Perhaps there are multiple factors that can contribute to the increase in flu infections? How does your theory contradict the stated theory? Also, the author cited a study to back up their theory. Please cite yours for evaluation.

      • Commonsense posted on 2012-10-07 at 15:06

        I have a source to back that most of that up:

        The textbook Our Origins by Clark Larsen

        Almost everything that was said by anon was factually proven.

        Read it, and stop denying facts when you yourself have no sources to back up the crap you’re spewing on the internet.
        If you don’t believe me or the book, then consult a physician.

      • After another 3 years, maybe you’ll let us know which points were factually proven in unspecified quotes from that book.

    • Immersing the feet in ice water would only reduce the temperature of the feet (and perhaps the lower leg), but not the core body temperature. The site of infection is in the throat and sinuses (extending to the chest if severe), but the temperature here is not going to be affected by cold feet. On a cold day however, the chilly air would cool these parts of the body – though how much is significant is unknown – not the feet.

      Here’s a more comprehensive overview of Eccles’ study. He says “It’s well known that chilling the feet causes vasoconstriction in the nose.”

      This wasn’t well known to me; in fact I was impressed by the apparent lack of connection between the temperatures of the feet and the nose, given the evidence he presented. The risk of developing symptoms of a cold more than doubled when peoples’ feet were immersed in ice water, which seems to suggest that there’s a causal relationship at work.

      Granted, the p-value of this result is a little large for my tastes at 0.047. (A p-value is the chance that the result would’ve happened even if the tested hypothesis were false. Lower p-values mean an experiment is more convincing.) This p-value is only just below the customary “p < 0.05” limit for clinical studies, and I tend to agree with researchers who want to place a more stringent limit like “p < 0.01” in order to prevent the publication of false positives. But I think Eccles’s findings are strong enough to take this hypothesis seriously, at least until more evidence is gathered.

      While it is true that metabolic rate decreases with decreased temperature (just like all chemical reactions) this decline is not significant at the range of body temperatures viable with life – normal body temperature is 37C – hypothermia is set at 35C and very few survive a fall to 32C (except those on bypass having heart surgery)

      I’m not talking about a decrease in metabolic rate. Instead, I’m proposing that as the body temperature drops below 37°C, metabolic activities are focused on a specialized set of activities that keep the body warm. For example, blood flow to the extremities is restricted by vasoconstriction, which requires energy. When that energy runs out, the blood vessels open up again even if the body is still cold, which results in a feeling of warmth. As a result, it’s common for hypothermia victims to shed their clothes right before dying.

      I’m guessing that there are other mechanisms that perform the same trade-off. Energy that would otherwise be sent into the immune system is re-routed to tasks that provide/retain the most body heat for the fewest calories of fuel. I doubt this phenomenon would result in a lowered metabolic rate. Quite the opposite, in fact.

      In addition, rather than being “stable even at low temperatures” it is more accurate to say that they are LESS stable at HIGHER temperatures.

      You’re right to say that the influenza coating melts at higher temperatures, which results in an alternative mechanism: “warm weather melts the coating, slowing the infection rate of influenza and other similarly coated pathogens.” This may act in concert with the other hypotheses I’ve discussed; Anonymous is correct to say that multiple factors may account for the cold weather/sickness correlation.

      What caught my attention wasn’t the stability of the coating at lower temperatures, but rather the fact that the coating melts gently as it’s warmed. There’s no phase transition that could harm the virus; it’s completely continuous. That seems like a very effective cold-weather adaptation.

  3. I just noticed an inconsistency. The first link to Dr. Eccles’s research says that 29% of the group with chilled feet developed cold symptoms, compared to only 9% of the control group. Each group had 90 people, so that’s 26 and 8 people sick respectively.

    But, the second link explicitly says that 13 people with chilled feet got sick compared to 5 of the control subjects.

    Both articles agree on the number of people in each group, so there’s a problem here. Which article, if either, is correct?

    • I emailed Dr. Eccles, and he said that both statements are correct, but they’re referring to different parts of the experiment. The first statement refers to colds diagnosed via symptom severity changes and the second relates to self-diagnosed colds.

      He was also kind enough to give me a copy of the paper. The first link’s data (29% chilled colds, 9% control colds) was based on a repeated survey that ranked various symptoms from 0 (not present) to 3 (severe). This result has a p-value of 0.001.

      The second link is referring to a simpler repeated question “are you suffering from a cold?” This result has the p-value of 0.047 which I previously quoted.

  4. Something’s been bothering me about Dr. Eccles’s study. It couldn’t possibly have been double-blind because there’s a perceptible difference between ice water and an empty bowl. I wonder if the increased reporting of cold symptoms could have been enhanced by the subjects’ expectations of catching a cold.

    I’d like to see another independent study reproducing these results at some point, but the only way to create a truly double-blind study would be to sedate the subjects, immerse their feet, dry them off and warm their feet back up, then wake them up. Hopefully the subjects wouldn’t know if they were in the control or experimental group if these precautions were taken.

    • Dr. Eccles quickly responded to these concerns:

      I agree that it is not possible to blind subjects and they are likely to be influenced by procedures but we did not get any immediate effects of chilling which would be expected if subjects believed the chilling was doing something and responded accordingly. The symptoms appeared over the next couple of days as would be expected with activation of a current infection rather than a contrived response. No research is definitive but I think this research does support the folk lore that chilling causes onset of a common cold- more research is needed. Sedation is not useful as sedatives do have effects on reflexes and responses of blood vessels.

    • highdy-highdy-ho posted on 2016-12-11 at 09:32

      Double-blind is out of the question in this experiment as it would require researchers to not know whether or not they are administering the treatment. A bowl of ice water versus an empty bowl are much different than two identical pills that have core differences.

  5. Cold Weather Really Can Make You Sick is a statement which is backed up by a considerable amount of epidemiological data. Studies have shown very convincingly that there is a very direct correlation between sudden drops in temperature and morbidity and even mortality.

    On the topic of the common cold one very important factor that is a likely contributor to the common cold is the drying of the upper airways. Airways are instantly challenged when exposed to cold air, which happens with the first breath you may take on a cold day. Cold air is inherently dry and the inspiration of this dry air was first studied by Dr McFadden who clearly established the penetration of cold air deep into the thoracic region. Prior to Dr McFadden’s research it was commonly believed that all inspired air way preconditioned extrathoracicly. Many health care professionals still believe this.

    The result of cold air penetrating deep into the airways is the potential to dry the mucus membranes lining the airways. The mucus membrane is the airways front line of defense. When the airways dry they loss this line of defense and become exposed to any pathogen which may be present in the airways awaiting the opportunity to attack. Of course the body has methods to compensate for this challenge but it cannot compensate immediately and hence just a few breaths of cold air may be enough to trigger that cold or sore throat.

    All of this is very consistent with Dr Eccles’s cold feet study since the hypotheses are centered around the occurrence of vasoconstriction and blood shunting to the core. When this occurs the blood flow particularly in the nose is reduced and as a result the airway mucosa may dry and leave the door open to virus and or infection.

    Best advice is never doubt your mother.

    • Heh. Agreed. Thanks for the info!

    • Z. posted on 2010-12-10 at 03:49

      What about the fact that people in tropical regions tend to get sick during the rainy season?

      • I’ve previously noted that people stay indoors more in the winter, which increases the chances of spreading germs. The same effect likely happens during the rainy season. It’s important to remember that a combination of factors are responsible.

      • alex posted on 2014-12-22 at 19:08

        You have to realize that in the tropical regions, the rainy season is our “winter”. Also when you’re wet your body temp is drastically reduced. Those who get caught in wet situations(many third world countries are in tropical regions hence walk alot) and fail to get dry..then they do get sick. Another thing to note is that despite the temp being warmer than what people in European countries are used to, normal people in tropics still wear sweaters in the early morning and evening. This was despite me almost never wearing a sweater because i just found it too warm to do that due to what i am used to.

    • HMMMM posted on 2011-03-19 at 16:27

      I don’t know about you, but my nose runs when it gets cold, not dry. It drys out inside where the heat is contained. Where the viruses sit waiting to get picked. Usually by the inanimate items the infected person brought home with them from what ever public place they were.

      • Jeff posted on 2012-03-19 at 07:40

        I have a theory on that. When it gets cold and windy, your eyes tend to create more tears probably so the eyes won’t get too dry. Since the tears are evacuated from the eyes to the nose, this is why you have a runny nose in cold and/or windy weather.

        However, I always thought it was false that cold weather can make you sick, and I still have to be convinced. I do not get more sick in the winter than in the summer, and I live in Quebec, where temperature can drop regularly to -30°C. I like the theory about “when it’s colder, you get in more confined spaces with more people, which help the propagation of the virus”.

  6. Betty posted on 2009-09-02 at 15:21

    Another interesting idea about the relationship between the increase in cold and flu incidence during cold weather is that there appears to be an inversely proportional relationship between a person’s vitamin D levels and their likelihood of contracting a viral respiratory illness. Since one of the ways a person can increase his vitamin D stores is exposure to sunlight, it makes sense that with colder weather (and greater coverage of the body) and the less direct sunlight that occur in the winter could lead to lower vitamin D levels and greater chance of illness.

    • Hmm… my mom also tells me to get outside more. Maybe this is why.

      I’m curious to see if this relationship is spurious or not. They say that vitamin D levels are positively correlated with exercise prior to entering the military, and inversely correlated with smoking. Perhaps these factors make vitamin D appear to be related to immunity, when it’s really just a matter of exercising and not smoking. We’ll have to wait until their supplement studies are published to find out.

      Anyway, thanks for the interesting link!

    • I just noticed these sentences in the paper:

      • Furthermore, we were able to adjust for the effect of smoking on respiratory infections.
      • Although vitamin D was also correlated with the amount of previous physical exercise, the latter was not associated with infections and therefore did not confound the results.

      So my objections were already considered and disproven.

  7. Zunk posted on 2010-03-21 at 11:13

    I live in Los Angeles where it rarely gets below 50 during the cold/ winter season. The amount of energy used to keep my body warm on a 55 degree day in a coat has to be negligible at best, yet I get sick every winter. More so the energy spent has to be significantly less than if I were to jog a mile in 90 degree weather no? And people aren’t getting sick more in summer. And what about athletes in general wouldn’t they have insanely high infection rates? So it can’t simply be the depletion of an energy payload diverted from the immune system can it? The air and airway theories seem to make more sense if it’s cold weather related at all.

    • More so the energy spent has to be significantly less than if I were to jog a mile in 90 degree weather no? And people aren’t getting sick more in summer.

      Humans shed excess heat by sweating, which results in dehydration but the energy required probably isn’t comparable to shivering and blood vessel contraction in the extremities, etc.

      And what about atheletes in general wouldn’t they have insanely high infection rates?

      Conscious exercise also consumes energy, but perhaps involuntary shivering has a higher “priority” in the body’s metabolism than exercise unaccompanied by massive doses of stress hormones. In other words, maybe natural selection favors metabolisms that don’t divert crucial immune system energy to exercise unless the creature is in fight-or-flight mode.

      So it can’t simply be the depletion of an energy payload diverted from the immune system can it?

      No. That’s why I didn’t suggest that all cold-correlated illnesses are due to a single cause. Multiple factors are certainly involved, as discussed here and here and here.

      The air and airway theories seem to make more sense if it’s cold weather related at all.

      Yes, I’ve already agreed with Bruce that this factor seems significant. What I’m suggesting is that “vasoconstriction in airways leads to a cold” is just one example of a more general pattern where our bodies sacrifice long-term health for immediate warmth.

  8. Dr. Knowledge posted on 2010-05-19 at 00:02

    During the flu season of 2005, an experiment was performed to test the idea that being cold can make you sick. 90 people kept their feet in a bowl of ice water for 20 minutes, while a control group of 90 people put their feet in an empty bowl for 20 minutes. Over the next 5 days, 29% of the group with chilled feet developed cold symptoms, compared to only 9% of the control group.

    What experiment was this? This experiment described above doesn’t prove anything. First of all, immersing someones feet in ice water for 20 minutes will not do anything but cause their blood vessels to constrict at their feet – called peripheral vasoconstriction. Next, the experiment states within 5 days, 23% of the experimental group developed cold symptoms. Nowhere in the experiment does it state if either of these groups were exposed to a known virus or bacteria. If both groups for example were exposed to the same virus at the same time for those twenty minutes and then observed over the next 5 days with no external contact, then maybe the experiment could hold some value. But we have no idea what this experimental group did in the 5 days after, who and what they were exposed to, versus the control group.

    In summary, I do believe that cold weather can lower host defenses. But hypothermia is very different from going out without your jacket for 30 minutes in the 35 degree weather. Putting feet in ice water for 20 minutes is not considered a form of hypothermia.

    • What experiment was this?

      Aside from the fact that the word “experiment” in that excerpt links to an article describing this research, you must have missed the discussions I had with one of the authors. Judging by the rest of your comment, you missed every other comment in this article, too.

      • Dr. Knowledge posted on 2010-05-19 at 03:39

        I apologize but I didn’t read every single comment in this discussion. Just a few. However, from what I read, I still feel the study has some flaws.

        I looked up the study and found this.

        According to the conclusion:

        “Acute chilling of the feet causes the onset of common cold symptoms in around 10% of subjects who are chilled. Further studies are needed to determine the relationship of symptom generation to any respiratory infection.”

        However in the results section it states: “The subjects who reported that they developed a cold (n = 18) reported that they suffered from significantly more colds each year (P = 0.007) compared to those subjects who did not develop a cold (n = 162).” I apologize if I am incorrect but I did not see any mention of this is the discussion above. Could it be that the patients that reported these changes were more prone to infection due to factors other than chilling of the feet? Or could these patients just report more symptoms because they generally feel they get more sick than others? This brings up another point.

        Symptoms are subjective because they are experienced by the patient. As per the last line of the conclusion, “Further studies are needed to determine the relationship of symptom generation to any respiratory infection.” The study did determine any actual infection, just subjective symptoms.

        Dr. Ronald Turner of the University of Virginia states “The researchers didn’t check to see if a virus was ever present. They measured symptoms… They didn’t do any virology, so that study has nothing to do with becoming infected.”

        There were two studies done in the late 50’s and 60’s and both concluded that cold weather and infection rates by the cold virus were not related.

        I don’t think the points discussed above were brought up prior to this, but if they have, I apologize.

      • What experiment was this? This experiment described above doesn’t prove anything. First of all, immersing someones feet in ice water for 20 minutes will not do anything but cause their blood vessels to constrict at their feet – called peripheral vasoconstriction.

        Discussed here.

        Next, the experiment states within 5 days, 29% [Ed – fixed.] of the experimental group developed cold symptoms. Nowhere in the experiment does it state if either of these groups were exposed to a known virus or bacteria.

        Dr. Eccles already said this study examines how cold activates latent infections.

        If both groups for example were exposed to the same virus at the same time for those twenty minutes and then observed over the next 5 days with no external contact, then maybe the experiment could hold some value. But we have no idea what this experimental group did in the 5 days after, who and what they were exposed to, versus the control group.

        That’s the point of having 90 people in each group. Larger sample sizes reduce the chances of the experimental group getting exposed to another infection vector “significantly” more than the control group.

        Asking people to stick their feet in frigid water then answer some surveys is probably easier than asking them to stick their feet in frigid water, then sit in solitary confinement for 5 days. Good luck getting that study funded.

        In summary, I do believe that cold weather can lower host defenses. But hypothermia is very different from going out without your jacket for 30 minutes in the 35 degree weather. Putting feet in ice water for 20 minutes is not considered a form of hypothermia.

        As Dr. Eccles noted, “It’s well known that chilling the feet causes vasoconstriction in the nose.” As Bruce noted, vasoconstriction of the upper airways dries them out, removing the first line of defense against airborne pathogens. Of course, all this is on the first page of the paper too.

        However in the results section it states: “The subjects who reported that they developed a cold (n = 18) reported that they suffered from significantly more colds each year (P = 0.007) compared to those subjects who did not develop a cold (n = 162).”

        Not surprising, given that Dr. Eccles’ hypothesis concerns activation of latent sub-critical infections. Here’s the last paragraph in results:

        There was no difference in colds incidence between the two test groups at baseline as illustrated in Table 1. However, when looking at both test groups combined, those subjects who believed there were suffering from a cold had a history of more colds each year (median 2.00, range 1–10) compared to those who did not develop a cold (median 3.00, range 2–8, P = 0.007).

        This last sentence has me confused. It seems backwards. But their conclusion seems reasonable:

        An interesting finding in the present study was that the subjects who reported they developed a cold after the chill or control procedures also reported that they suffered from significantly more colds each year, than the subjects who did not report a cold after the procedures. This finding may indicate that there is a sub population in the general population who are more susceptible to developing common cold symptoms each year and that they may have a ‘common cold constitution’.

        Could it be that the patients that reported these changes were more prone to infection due to factors other than chilling of the feet? Or could these patients just report more symptoms because they generally feel they get more sick than others?

        The real question is, why would these people be more common in the experimental group rather than the control group? As the paper says:

        “The differences between the chilled and control groups could have occurred as a chance finding, as it was expected that some subjects would develop cold symptoms due to natural exposure to common cold viruses. The probability value for the different reporting of colds was just below P = 0.05 (P = 0.047) but the P-value for the difference in total symptom scores was more convincing with P = 0.013, and for the dichotomous analysis was P = 0.001. With two different measures of the incidence of common cold providing significant differences between the two test groups it is unlikely that the results are solely due to chance.”

        This brings up another point. Symptoms are subjective because they are experienced by the patient. As per the last line of the conclusion, “Further studies are needed to determine the relationship of symptom generation to any respiratory infection.” The study did determine any actual infection, just subjective symptoms.

        Already discussed, and I’ve already said that I want to see future research.

        Dr. Ronald Turner of the University of Virginia states “The researchers didn’t check to see if a virus was ever present. They measured symptoms… They didn’t do any virology, so that study has nothing to do with becoming infected.”

        Yes, of course. The paper’s third paragraph specifically states that Dr. Eccles’ hypothesis regards the activation of latent, sub-clinical infections.

        There were two studies done in the late 50’s and 60’s and both concluded that cold weather and infection rates by the cold virus were not related.

        That’s why the paper’s second paragraph includes references to papers (6-8) which make exactly that point.

      • Also, the citations list two relevant papers.

      • Dr. Knowledge posted on 2010-05-19 at 07:28

        “Not surprising, given that Dr. Eccles’ hypothesis concerns activation of latent sub-critical infections…. “

        Virus latency or viral latency is the ability of a pathogenic virus to lie dormant within a cell, denoted as the lysogenic part of the viral life cycle. A latent viral infection is a type of persistent viral infection which is distinguished from a chronic viral infection. Simply a latent virus is a virus that is never totally cleared, is not replicating, and not producing any symptoms of infections. HSV, HPV, & VZV are some examples of latent viruses. However, I have never read any documentation stating latency with viruses that cause the common cold. However, this may exist. If you have any literature, please let me know as I’d be interested in seeing it.

        “As Dr. Eccles noted, “It’s well known that chilling the feet causes vasoconstriction in the nose.” As Bruce noted, vasoconstriction of the upper airways dries them out, removing the first line of defense against airborne pathogens. Of course, all this is on the first page of the paper too.”

        Drying out upper airways does remove the first line of defense against airborne pathogens. But then viruses that cause the common cold are not part of the normal flora of the upper airways, to my knowledge (Again if you have any info that proves otherwise, I’d love to see it). The re-activation of a latent infection would mean they would have to be there to begin with. So not quite sure what you mean by latent sub-critical infections.

        “The real question is, why would these people be more common in the experimental group rather than the control group? …”

        Not really sure what you mean by this. The people that admitted to getting symptoms of a cold admitted that they suffered from significantly more colds each year. These individuals were both in the experimental and the control group. It wasn’t that only the experimental group stated they suffered from colds more each year. Couldn’t this just be that the experimental group had more people who are more susceptible to colds than the control group?

        So I’m a bit confused to what this study proved other than, according to what you said, vasoconstriction and drying up of upper airways due to immersing feet in ice water for 20 minutes.

      • However, I have never read any documentation stating latency with viruses that cause the common cold. However, this may exist. If you have any literature, please let me know as I’d be interested in seeing it.

        I’m referring to paragraph 3, sentence 3: Some years later Sir Christopher Andrewes suggested that exposure to a cold environment may trigger the development of a cold but only in people who are carrying the latent cold virus. (Reference: Andrewes C. The Common Cold. New York: Norton; 1965.)

        I’m not a professional biologist, so I won’t claim to know whether your definition of “latent” is the only correct use for that word in this context. But perhaps you should ask Dr. Johnson and Dr. Eccles that question?

        Drying out upper airways does remove the first line of defense against airborne pathogens. But then viruses that cause the common cold are not part of the normal flora of the upper airways, to my knowledge (Again if you have any info that proves otherwise, I’d love to see it). The re-activation of a latent infection would mean they would have to be there to begin with. So not quite sure what you mean by latent sub-critical infections.

        Again, I’m not a biologist, so these aren’t my words. Paragraph 3, sentence 4: Eccles developed these early observations by proposing a hypothesis that acute cooling of the body surface causes a reflex vasoconstriction in the nose and upper airways, and this vasoconstrictor response may inhibit respiratory defence and cause the onset of common cold symptoms by converting an asymptomatic viral infection (sub-clinical infection) into a symptomatic viral infection (clinical infection). The novel idea in this hypothesis was that when common cold viruses are circulating in the community a proportion of those infected will have sub-clinical infections, and that when any of this sub-group are exposed to chilling of the body surface this could aid conversion of a sub-clinical infection to a clinical infection. This study was aimed at testing this hypothesis, by studying the onset of common cold symptoms after acute chilling of healthy asymptomatic subjects, during the winter, when common cold viruses are circulating in the community. (Reference: Eccles R. Acute cooling of the body surface and the common cold. Rhinol 2002; 40(3): 109–114.)

        The real question is, why would these people be more common in the experimental group rather than the control group? …

        Not really sure what you mean by this. The people that admitted to getting symptoms of a cold admitted that they suffered from significantly more colds each year. These individuals were both in the experimental and the control group. It wasn’t that only the experimental group stated they suffered from colds more each year. Couldn’t this just be that the experimental group had more people who are more susceptible to colds than the control group?

        Table 1 states that the median number of colds per year is the same (2.0) for both groups. In fact, the experimental group’s range only goes up to 8 colds per year, while the control group had at least one person who caught 10 colds per year. If anything, the experimental group was slightly less susceptible to catching cold.

        So I’m a bit confused to what this study proved other than, according to what you said, vasocontriction and drying up of upper airways due to immersing feet in ice water for 20 minutes.

        Those are just suggested causal mechanisms. The real point is the observed correlation between exposure to ice water and development of cold symptoms. As I’ve said, I’d like to see more studies with larger sample sizes and better controls to make the P value smaller. But the only two studies I’ve found citing this paper seem to confirm its findings, so for the moment I remain impressed with this study by Dr. Johnson and Dr. Eccles.

      • A third paper.

  9. Dr. Knowledge posted on 2010-05-19 at 20:26

    Well thanks for clearing up the confusion about median number of colds in both groups. I must have misinterpreted the passage.

    As far as the correlation to exposure to ice water and development of cold symptoms, I don’t buy it. But I agree with you that further studies should be done to check for actual infections, not just subjective symptoms as it would take out some of the questionable variables.

    Thanks for all the links. Very interesting stuff.

    • No problem. To be fair, I’m a little confused about one of their median cold statements too. Sorry for being rude earlier.

      • Dr. Knowledge posted on 2010-05-19 at 22:38

        No worries. I apologize as well. I came off a bit arrogant myself.

  10. Dr Reason posted on 2010-11-05 at 20:39

    Very interesting to read all the comments. I really believe people are more inclined to report “symptoms” if they believe they should feel symptoms. So many people are brought up with the teaching that cold air, wet hair, etc will get people sick that they will expect to feel symptoms after the ice water foot soaking.

    Whether or not a double blind study is possible is not the point… since it was NOT accomplished, then SERIOUS validity issues are in this study.

    • I thought his response to these concerns was reasonable. I’ve already unsuccessfully tried to think of a better experiment setup, and said that I want to see future research. If you’ve seen some relevant peer-reviewed research or have a better experimental setup, then I’d be interested to hear about it.

  11. NConv posted on 2010-11-27 at 14:49

    All the cold weather does is it lowers your immune system. Quoting yourself: “Cutting off the blood flow [by vasoconstriction from cold weather] reduces the supply of white blood cells which are the immune system’s primary weapon against germs” and again, “a significant diversion of blood flow directly impacts the population of white blood cells in an area in the body. Semantics.” In conclusion, cold weather causes lowering of the immune system, increasing chances to catching a virus leading to a cold. Logical.

    More support:

    “The result of cold air penetrating deep into the airways is the potential to dry the mucus membranes lining the airways. The mucus membrane is the airways front line of defense. When the airways dry they loss this line of defense and become exposed to any pathogen which may be present in the airways awaiting the opportunity to attack…When this occurs the blood flow particularly in the nose is reduced and as a result the airway mucosa may dry and leave the door open to virus and or infection.” To which Dumb Scientist posted on 2009-08-25 at 18:24 “Heh. Agreed.”

    • Veronica posted on 2013-05-01 at 08:09

      I grew up with a weak immune system and during my first ten years, a lot of antibiotics were given to me. This due to tonsillitis. Ever since I remember, and I am now 42, every time I walk on the floor with no shoes on, every time I feel cold breeze on my body, I get sick. Cold, sore throat and sinus infection. There is no way I would go out with my hair wet when the temperatures are lower than 50 F. My tonsils were removed in my 30’s, and I still get the same symptoms.
      I have learned to live that way, even though it is very stressful and difficult. I do the best I can to cope with it.
      Coming from a warm country and living now in one of the northern ones in The USA, has been a challenge.
      I do lots of research and have found this site very helpful. Thank you for all the information. V.

  12. Di posted on 2010-12-16 at 20:25

    The experiment and or controlled study only makes a difference is all 90 people were in the same living conditions. Colds and flu are air born and contact.

    Did these all 90 of these subjects not go to work, be exposed to the public, did all wash their hands after touching possible infected surfaces, did anyone touch a surface that others did not touch, were any around people who were already infected, did they wear masks, did any have school aged children that they exposed to, did they all have similar BMI, did they consume a similar diet from the same source, were they of similar age and similar heath to begin with etc….?

    Just to many variables here.

    With lab rats they all eat the same diet, live in the same environments etc….

    With humans that is a bit more difficult to control.

    • Notice that there were 180 people in the study: 90 people in the experimental group and 90 people in the control group.

      That’s why I’ve previously said: That’s the point of having 90 people in each group. Larger sample sizes reduce the chances of the experimental group getting exposed to another infection vector “significantly” more than the control group. Asking people to stick their feet in frigid water then answer some surveys is probably easier than asking them to stick their feet in frigid water, then sit in solitary confinement for 5 days. Good luck getting that study funded.

  13. MW posted on 2011-01-12 at 19:03

    I’m not a scientist but I absolutely concur with the research findings. I work at home so am not out in the mainstream for long periods during the week exposed to infection. It has been obvious to me for years that if I let my feet and ankles get cold – for instance if I just put slippers not socks on – sure as eggs I will come down with a cold. Given I’m often holed up at home alone it can only be the case that the virus has been dormant and is activated by my body temperature dropping. Interesting to read why.

    • Hmm… that suggests we should look for seasonal fluctuations in colds among people who work at home alone. Since the usual explanation (people are crowded indoors more during the winter) wouldn’t affect them as much, any seasonal fluctuation would be more likely to be a result of lower temperatures. Good idea!

      • JLM posted on 2017-10-02 at 22:38

        I also stay at home quite a bit with me and my four kids and we don’t get sick very much. Not even during flu season. We’ve only experienced flu once and non of us recieve the flu shot *gasp*. So I say that the best theory is still with crowding people indoors. Also, our brains and thoughts can do amazing things. Women have actually started having symptoms of pregnancy including a growing belly and all and were not pregnant, but if fact “thought” they were. So I think that they haven’t actually proven that anyone’s immune system drops in cold at all. Or that people are more susceptible to colds when it’s cold. It’s nearly impossible to prove that. There are way too many other factors involved in this. I think getting colds has way more to do with stress levels, proper exercise, sleep and diet have actually been proven to be linked with lowered immune function.

  14. sick in winter in the tropics posted on 2011-06-07 at 18:55

    I have been wondering about this as our weather temperatures just abruptly dropped by an average of about 80 F to 50 F in the tropics. People in large numbers are sick, and sicker than usual for the flu season here. My daughter and I both contracted terrible bronchial symptoms that have taken 10 days to go away.

    I was wondering whether there was not a common necessary agent in both thermal regulation of the body and immunity. That sounds very simple, and it is simple, and is considered in the ideas mentioned above like restricted blood flow. But what if there is a very simple basic agent, like Zinc or some exact protein carrier, that is necessary for both thermal regulation and immunity. Imagine you have two competing chemical reactions that need one of the same agents but the solution where the reaction is occuring only has a constant supply of that agent. In a time when both reactions need to occur at a higher rate, one or both suffer.

    I guess what always bothers me in these studies is that ‘immunity’ is so general. Surely we can break immunity into smaller pieces that can be studied quantitatively. Surely we can identify some exact pieces of the physical, chemical processes that are causing the flus and colds.

    Vitamin D, as mentioned above, may be one such commonly needed substance for both thermal regulation and ‘immunity’. But I live in the tropics and it has been damn sunny for this period of colder than usual weather that has caused more flu, bronchitis, etc. Maybe we all stayed inside as it was colder and our vitamin D dropped. I don’t know. I’d love to hear responses.

    • Betty posted on 2011-06-15 at 21:20

      I haven’t read any good, solid scientifically-based explanations for it, but there is a certain amount of old-timers’ wisdom (some of which IS based in fact) that swears that our bodies use so much energy keeping themselves warm that they don’t have as much left for fighting off colds. My own first thought was vitamin D – even if it’s still sunny, people are probably outside less and they’re covering more of their skin. I have a couple of friends who have recently been diagnosed with horrifically low vitamin D stores – to the point where it’s seriously messing with their endocrine systems – and both are outside without sunscreen quite a lot. Supposedly many Americans have deficient vitamin D stores, so even though it is a fat soluble vitamin, colder weather for a period of time in the tropics may well drop people’s levels enough to have an impact on their immune systems.

      • I try to get plenty of rest. I drink water and hot tea with honey. I also take over the counter meds to ease the symptoms. My grandmother used to give me Hot tea with honey, lemon and whiskey. I’m not sure it worked, but it tasted great and helped me sleep. If I have a fever of more than 99.7, I’m probably contagious. I stay home until the fever is gone.

  15. Marcus posted on 2011-09-09 at 06:06

    I believe you guys might be looking too deep. Have you considered children and hygiene? During the summer vacation they’re not bunched together sharing germs. School starts and the germs begin to spread in the youngest group and brought home to siblings or their snot flying in the local grocery store. As it gets closer to Summer they have started building up their immune systems. Then another generation comes in and the mutations start all over again on new fresh meat. Studies show that hygiene helps keep germs down, common sense; not to detract from any of the above theories. I also believe that crowding people together added with the cold weather, due to running snot moving those buggers around inside us, don’t help any.

    • Notice that many of the previous comments (starting with this one address the fact that staying indoors allows germs to spread more easily. Recently, MW proposed comparing seasonal fluctuations in colds among people who work at home alone to people who go to work/school or have families who do.

  16. Wasselin posted on 2011-09-26 at 09:37

    What temperature does this cold weather have to be? Submersing your feet in chilled water seems a little different then going out in 50F weather without a jacket.

    Also aren’t there studies that have shown that dunking yourself in cold water (external stress stimuli) regularly actually increases your immune system very slightly?

    I think it has more to do with the moisture content in the air (dryness causes illness because the mucus in our noses is impaired) and lack of vitamin D and maybe even a decrease in physical activity in winter.

    If cold weather really causes disease, wouldn’t countries with cooler climates have a higher incidence of disease?

    • Submersing your feet in chilled water seems a little different then going out in 50F weather without a jacket.

      Yes, but both involve cooling part of the body. Dr. Eccles’s experiment isolates that variable from others that could be responsible, such as lowered humidity.

      Also aren’t there studies that have shown that dunking yourself in cold water (external stress stimuli) regularly actually increases your immune system very slightly?

      I don’t know. If you find one, please come back and leave a comment with a link.

      I think it has more to do with the moisture content in the air (dryness causes illness because the mucus in our noses is impaired) and lack of vitamin D and maybe even a decrease in physical activity in winter.

      Yes, Bruce McCormick mentioned dry air and Betty discussed vitamin D deficiency. I hadn’t thought about lower physical activity, except for the implied proximity to other people. I’m trying to figure out how a few months of lowered physical activity would cause one to experience more colds. Any biologists or medical researchers want to help me out here?

      If cold weather really causes disease, wouldn’t countries with cooler climates have a higher incidence of disease?

      First, neither Dr. Eccles or I am claiming that cold weather causes disease. I’m just reporting on suggestive evidence that cold weather activates latent infections.

      Second, this would only be true if everything else were equal. But people in colder climates wear more insulating clothing and sometimes go to great lengths to avoid exposing themselves to cold weather. Also, colder climates are more common at higher latitudes, which also happens to be where most of the world’s richest countries are. Presumably average wealth correlates with the average quality of health care to some extent, which would complicate your proposed experiment.

  17. bill posted on 2011-10-16 at 19:32

    Just thought I’d point out; in the tropics where I live, the seasonal temperature changes less than 10 degrees F “season” to “season” yet we still get sick in the winter and get flu viruses running around.

    I’ve always wondered if, in colder climates, the dry cold air, drying out the nose and throat aren’t more responsible for transmission of some viruses. No/diminished protective mucus, more chance of a pathogen finding fertile purchase. Flu viruses aren’t just endemic to 40 degrees north latitude and up. They hit warm climates as well where no substantial seasonal climate change can be blamed. Are cases of the flu more predominant in NYC than San Diego or Atlanta?

    • Michael posted on 2011-11-08 at 08:47

      Actually I’ve lived in the tropics before moving to Colorado and I must say it gets about 5 times worse in Colorado than I’ve ever seen in Hawaii. Sometimes at my school there can be up to 4/5ths of the students home because of sickness.

    • Jake posted on 2012-12-16 at 09:21

      I grew up in north east Alabama where it gets near freezing during the winters and I got more than one cold a year for 19 years. For the past 7 years I have lived in San Diego and I can’t remember the last time I had a cold or flu. I’m trying to figure out if it is related to climate or because I’m not in school. Growing up I was exposed to other snotty nosed kids during winter at school, and now I work in an office with about 100 people. Out of those 100 people most of them have kids in different schools. if the colds of my youth were related only to school germs, I think I would still be exposed to them indirectly from my coworkers kids, and my wife’s coworkers kids. However we never get sick.

  18. Pedro posted on 2011-10-19 at 03:26

    That experiment sucks and that is BAD science….. What if the virus/bacteria was in the water and not on the COLD? Why a empty bowl instead of a bowl with hot water?

  19. Brandon Martin posted on 2011-11-06 at 09:33

    I have one question for whoever wants to answer. I am wondering what temperature should I keep my house this winter? I watched a Dr. Phil show and he said that your house should be kept at 64 degrees F to 70 degrees F, especially when you sleep at night. I feel like his statement is incorrect because those temperatures are below room temperature. Also, from reading these postings, it states that the cooler the temperature the more likely your body’s immune system becomes weaker. So what should I set my household thermostat to this winter?

    • Michael posted on 2011-11-08 at 08:44

      The reason for that is you don’t want it to be too warm 73 or 74 may be good during the day but at night if it’s above 70 and you’re under bed sheets you might (in your sleep of course) throw your bedsheets off you becoming a bit colder and causing you to toss and turn so you won’t let your body get a nice resting sleep to recover, but if it is at 64 degrees your body will react to that and stay still under the snug and warm blanket as you won’t get uncomfortably hot.

  20. Merv posted on 2011-11-21 at 05:03

    Dumb Scientist, this is some really good stuff. I’ve been doing some googling on trying to find out how temperature is affecting our immune systems. I just moved into this apt that has poor air flow system and ventilation. Windows don’t trap any air in or prevent any from coming in.

    Anyhow, I’m trying to determine how to prevent my son and myself from constantly feeling sniffly/coughing because we keep activating viruses because the air in the apt constantly gets changed from heat to air to compensate.

    Also, I’ve been fixing him green tea/fresh lime/honey often because I believe it will help his immune system tremendously.

    Lastly, best line on this whole page “listen to your mother” lol!

  21. I had not had a cold or flu for about five years. All that time I was living in a modern apartment with thermostat controlled heating, I rarely got cold because of that.

    Two weeks ago I moved to a bigger home with no thermostats and electric heating. For the first two weeks I have been regularly cold in my extremities, and low and behold I now have a cold.

    I take a strong multi vit each day and am generally health conscious, that is why i googled whether the temperature makes one susceptible to colds, as it seemd the obvious conclusion in my circumstance, I wanted to see if any science would back it up and it does seem to make sense after reading these posts.

    Merry Christmas and a Happy New Year!

  22. vomm posted on 2012-01-09 at 14:52

    the mind plays a roll in the perception of the state of environment.
    will the mind also effect the state of environment?
    not that thinking it will make you feel sick, but that the body reacts as if it is sick? physiologic games….

    possibly if the study was to sedate the personal, so they never know what context they were used in the study. problem being that they would have known that they were involved in the study,so that there was a chance that they were ‘exposed’…

    this could turn into a wonderfully revealing study if compared to a control group that had not been sedated (they consciously knew if they were cold). the effects of perception and how the body reacts.

    another option would be to keep the personal sedated for the duration of the five days. just that it does not seem feasible to keep 90-180 people unconscious for that length of time.

  23. It’s germs, bacteria, viruses and mold that makes us sick, not the cold weather. The cold can make you feel uncomfortable, and in extreme cold can cause hypothermia, or possibly lower resistance. I’ve always thought, however, that the colder the temperature gets, the slower the bacteria and mold multiplies …. Any scientists who can comment on this issue … ???

    I lived in the Pacific Northwest for 30 years, worked in the cold, rain, wind, snow and ice for many years, but actually was healthier during the cold weather. My grandfather worked hard all his life and even had a garden all winter long, and was never sick all his life!

    I now live in California, work in my garden even when the temperature is below freezing in my bare feet, summer shorts and tank-top, and have no problems when I’m outside.

    When other people are sick, I’m healthy! I have to laugh when people say it’s cold here …. What about the people who live in the high mountainous regions, and go bare foot their entire life, even in below-freezing weather!

    We must consider many factors when examining the causes of sickness, diseases, and physical complications …. Our age, physical condition, diet (huge factor!!!), exercise (or lack of-also huge factor!!!), alcohol, smoking, medications, drugs, pollution, chemicals, work place, genetics, etc.

    These factors can work for us or against us …. I’ve noticed over the years (I’ll be 55 soon) that the more healthy I eat the better I feel. The more I exercise the stronger my body is and the more strength I have when I do get sick, and seem to get well quicker, and still get around better even when I am sick. When I slack off and don’t eat right, and don’t get enough exercise, my body is weaker, and I seem to get sick easier, and take longer to get well.

  24. Another Anon posted on 2012-01-28 at 15:23

    Dear Dumb Scientist,
    Thank you for taking the time to answer all these people’s questions (and the many rude arguments) with such grace.
    You have helped to enlighten one mom in Canada, who now understands more about immunity. Thank you.
    – Canuckian Mommy ;)

  25. Guy with a Cold posted on 2012-02-20 at 09:32

    Thanks for the info.. When I was in the Philippines which is a tropical area and hygiene is not as clean as other developed countries the temperature dropped to where I thought it was the beginning of fall in the US. Now going from temperatures of 90 degrees and then suddenly it dropped to around 50 because of the wind chill, keep in mind I was just wearing shorts at the time due to the 90 degree weather. It was a bit dramatic drop in temperature but I felt the chills and a couple hours later I had a fever… I make regular trips to the Philippines and noticed during rainy seasons the temperature also drops a bit so just because there’s no winters in the tropics doesn’t necessarily mean the temperatures don’t drop. It just doesn’t get cold enough to snow but it still drops enough for you to feel a chill especially in the high altitude areas. I’m not a scientist at all but I guess it depends on what you as an individual feels that point to were you feel uncomfortable and stressed. For me,If I’m not in heat I’m stressed and I will get sick. I never get sick in the summers, it’s always when the weather drops in temperature and my body is fighting to stay warm do I end up getting sick a few hours later and the whole staying indoors more in the summer and the winter doesn’t work for me because I work the same amount of hours all year around and I barely go out side even during the summer so that theory does not work for me and after reading alot of the comments on here that there are other factors involved makes sense.. but I know for me personally it’s when I feel chills and I can’t get warm right away that is what triggers my cold.

  26. Jason posted on 2012-02-21 at 08:45

    No-one has commented critically on the main alternative hypothesis – that the increased prevalence of colds in winter is caused by people crowding together in buildings. This hypothesis seems very unlikely to me, for the reasons I shall give below. Further, no-one has referred to any experiments to try to confirm or deny the hypothesis. It should not be accepted on faith, without any attempt at experimental confirmation, although I do admit it is hard to think up realistic experiments to test it.

    The reason I think the hypothesis is a priori unlikely, is that I think in many places, people live most of their lives indoors (and equally crowded together) whether it is summer or winter. Being indoors can protect you not only from cold but also from heat, wind, rain, fluctuations in temperature (e.g. somewhat warm to somewhat cool) intense sunlight, and so on. Public transport systems e.g. buses, trains are almost always enclosed, and people do not stop using them or even, so far as I can see, use them significantly less, in summer, because they still have to get to work. Even if the climate etc. did make it theoretically possible to move to living and working outside, people are not going to move their offices, hospitals, schools, televisions, beds etc. outside because it would be too time consuming to move everything, and find a place outside to put it all, and then have to move it all back inside again when it got cold or rained.

    Yes, maybe people do have a few barbecues outside (though still usually with a number of people close together) and take a few more walks in the park when it is warm, but is much too small an effect to be likely to cut disease transmission much, when you consider how much time people are still spending indoors together. Anyway, if anyone wants to argue the contrary, to have a proper factual argument, the first thing would be to find out by proper studies and surveys how much time people actually are spending indoors and outdoors at different times of the year, otherwise the argument is based on bare assertion.

    The argument someone gave earlier about schools being out in summer seems a better one than the general “people go outdoors in summer” argument. However, I still think it is unlikely to be a significant factor. The reason I say this is that where I live (in England) the schools only start their 5-6 week summer vacation in mid July, but in my experience the prevalence of colds has already reduced greatly considerably before then. Colds are known here as elsewhere as mainly a cold weather and especially winter phenomenon, not an autumn through to mid summer one, and despite the fact that schools are still in session, colds from May onwards are not nearly as common as winter colds, in my view, though of course that should be checked for a proper scientific study.

    • No-one has commented critically on the main alternative hypothesis – that the increased prevalence of colds in winter is caused by people crowding together in buildings. This hypothesis seems very unlikely to me, for the reasons I shall give below. Further, no-one has referred to any experiments to try to confirm or deny the hypothesis. It should not be accepted on faith, without any attempt at experimental confirmation, although I do admit it is hard to think up realistic experiments to test it.

      To be fair, MW already mentioned that he works from home alone, so the standard crowding explanation wouldn’t apply to him. In response, I speculated that we could test the crowding hypothesis by studying people who work from home alone, to see if their colds exhibit seasonal fluctuations. I do like your suggestion of correlating the timing of school breaks to the flu season to test Marcus’s hypothesis that children are primarily responsible for spreading colds.

      I generally agree with your skepticism of the crowding hypothesis, both for the reasons you listed and because it seems like the effect would be reversed near the equator where people tend to spend more time indoors during the summer to escape the heat, while their mild winters don’t discourage outside activity. So in those countries the crowding effect on incidence of colds would be reversed from that experienced in temperate and polar regions.

      As you say, all proposed explanations should be rigorously checked with proper scientific experiments. I’m also a little disillusioned at what seems like a lack of rigorous experiments studying the connection between cold weather and sickness, but I’m not an epidemiologist so I might have simply overlooked the more compelling studies.

  27. DWJ, DVM posted on 2012-02-24 at 21:33

    Here is some info that will help muddy the water! From Discover Magazine. The first paragraph:

    “Everyone knows that winter is flu season, but until now scientists didn’t know why influenza cases spiked during the colder months. They came up with plenty of hypotheses–for example, they proposed that people are more exposed when huddled indoors, and that lower melatonin and vitamin-D levels can weaken immune systems [ScienceNOW Daily News]–but none of the previous suggestions proved correct. Now, however, researchers say they have the answer: The influenza virus thrives in the cold, dry air of winter. “The correlations were surprisingly strong. When absolute humidity is low, influenza virus survival is prolonged and transmission rates go up” [AP], said lead researcher Jeffrey Shaman.”

    Maybe, as in most of biology, these questions are multifactorial.
    As a veterinarian, we are very much in tune with the changes that occur in horses due to increasing and decreasing lengths of day light. These changes on the pituitary gland and the reproductive cycles are quite profound, initiation of ovarian follicle production, shedding of the haircoat, increase in sperm numbers with increasing length of daylight (spring) to name just a few. I thought this might play a factor in producing a “flu” season, but from the above information, and prior reports of a winter flu season at the equator, I am rethinking that hypothesis. Is anyone aware of this factor being explored?

    As a side note to the comments about exercise and immunity, it very well may be a matter of how much and at what level. Moderate exercise may boost immunity, severe exercise may lower it ??
    A good friend who was an olympic gold winning runner in the 1960’s reported to me that his immunity seemed normal to him while training, but that he would frequently contract a respiratory infection 3 to 5 days after a maximal exertion. Often that meant a major, world caliber effort. just a single observation.

  28. eimz posted on 2012-02-28 at 22:35

    Folks, I ALWAYS catch a cold when I get chilled. Even if I go out for 20-minute hour walk (not being dressed properly) and don’t touch anything or anyone, I still catch a cold. I know it. I feel it when it happens, and no one on earth can convince me that it is a myth to catch a cold by being chilled. I know cold is caused by a virus but it DOES infect me when I get chilled.

  29. coldguy posted on 2012-02-29 at 10:16

    Even if the experiment with the cold feet leaves alot of room for argument, I want to say I know that being cold makes me get sick.
    When they did the experiment they should of simply put people in a very cold room or cold area, not use ice on feet!

    I think it must be true that parts of our bodies already contain a small amount of cold and flu viruses every day of your life, especially within the ears. I think when our bodies get chilled (beyond the point that we are accustomed too), the defense/immune system begins to stall, and the germs that were being fought off before,suddenly can breach the bodies defenses,and the virus infects . When we get warm our immune system is undoubtedly working better, even if its only because we feel better and more comfortable. I think its been proven already that how we feel mentally can strongly affect our health and immune system. Also I just want to point out that the disease is in fact called a COLD, and has probably been called that for thousands of years, since before we had scientists, or records. It was called that because people knew that everytime somebody got too cold, they got this same disease, which they started calling a COLD. So the cold air doesnt cause the virus to suddenly exist, it exists year round, the cold air simply weakens our bodies immunity to getting infected by it. Do all the studies you want and this fact will still hold true.

    p.s. the reason other people can infect us is simply a matter of they have alot more active virus cells to infect and attack us with.While we may always be exposed to these cells everyday, the amount matters. its alot easier to get infected when exposed to several million disease cells then if you were only exposed to say, a million or less of them.

  30. Mike posted on 2012-03-07 at 20:38

    Here is my problem with the the theory that energy is diverted from the immune system to raise body temperature. Why is this energy diversion just in response to temperature? Using this logic, any stressful event should cause a cold. Boss yelled at you today? As far as your body is concerned, someone yelling at you could be trying to kill you. Better divert energy from the immune system to power the muscles and prepare to fight for your life! Going out for a jog later? Your body probably thinks you are running away from a predator. Again, better divert some energy. Based on the energy diversion theory, humans would be sick almost all the time, and those of us who exercise would be the most sick. Now, I realize that prolonged and continual stress, including physical stress, can weaken the immune system. In that sense, continual and prolonged exposure to cold could definitely be stressful to the body. But the key words here are “prolonged” and “continual.” Walking to the mailbox without a jacket would hardly be prolonged and continual.

  31. CLECold posted on 2012-03-10 at 22:41

    My niece is a nurse and we have gone back and forth over this so many times. My mother used to say to my sister and now to her grand children to please cover feet in a drafty home and when going outside when it is cold enough to make the body shiver. She will say not to go out in the same weather conditions wet at all, but especially not with wet hair.

    Their response is usually something rude in return for the concern and love that was expressed by my mother. Rudeness blended with some brand of false-confident laughter? Not only rude but absurdly disrespectful and mean, insulting, and just wrong in the same measure! I noticed from a veary young age that my sister was very often sick and with horrible, deep, coughs most of the time. My sister lives in bare feet and so did her children in almost a rebellion against my mothers advice to the point of nearly caughing immediately after stating “mother! It doesn’t hurt anything”! The same happens with my niece and with her children.

    The same has always happened to me until I learned for my own, over time. Especially when I am forced to breath cold air into my mouth repeatedly from running or working or climbing a hill, unable to breath properly through my nose due to dryness and blockage. There seems to be something very obvious about the simple advice to wrap up and keep extremities, especially your head, covered when exposed to dramatic changes in temperatures from warm to cold, no matter the season. I’ve personally noticed that the same can happen when I am dressed light because of warmer exterior weather and enter very cold, air-conditioned interiors. Sneezing, coughing, congestion, feverish, sore throat. This is always worse in winter, but I take a jacket with me in the car although the exterior temps are in the 90s. My office and many restaurants are very very cold in summer. I completely disagree with the grouping of people, as that has not been a factor in my personal life at all.

    I have been very successful about averting colds for several years now, even when I had to contend with minus degree weather interior and exterior for extended periods of time. The only time I’ve ever experienced cold like symptoms and missed work was when I was caught in a situation where I was unprepared to face cold air and did breath deeply into my mouth for several minutes. I always new what was to follow and though symptoms did begin quickly after the event, I have learned that taking a very long, hot shower and going immediately to bed will always nip it.

    All of the arguments above that support our mothers advice seem very reasonable, but I do not need science to prove what my life’s tests and controlls and experimentations have already proven time and time again. Proven even by non-believers, and those who would disrespect the advice handed down from ages past. We are too quick to judge common wisdom and too quick to accept anything stamped with the seal of scientific research, which often seems to overlook important conditions of their own tests and promote false positives towards a desired outcome…?

    • CLECold posted on 2012-03-10 at 23:01

      Oh…. And another thing… All of the explanations given above are great, either way, but again, it’s easier to say “don’t catch the cold! Wrap up!”. You may argue that, if a man jumps off of a six story building… Jumping didn’t kill him, falling didn’t kill him, the building didn’t kill him, impacting the earth didn’t kill him… It was a very specific, lengthy autopsy report that will tell you what exactly killVed him… Needless to say that the specifics aren’t that important and generalities are safe to assume when your giving out loving advice that is so well proven throughbtime… I think it is well enough just to say… “Honey, don’t go a-jump’n off no buildings today!” “Don’t fall and break your neck!”. That’s all I have to say about that.

    • Mike posted on 2012-03-11 at 14:48

      “The same has always happened to me until I learned for my own, over time. Especially when I am forced to breath cold air into my mouth repeatedly from running or working or climbing a hill, unable to breath properly through my nose due to dryness and blockage. There seems to be something very obvious about the simple advice to wrap up and keep extremities, especially your head, covered when exposed to dramatic changes in temperatures from warm to cold, no matter the season. I’ve personally noticed that the same can happen when I am dressed light because of warmer exterior weather and enter very cold, air-conditioned interiors.”

      I’ve been reading lots on this because I, too, have a mother who constantly tells me to dress warmly and it is highly annoying. Rudeness works both ways – I constantly tell her that I don’t believe in this old wives tale and tell her to please stop telling me how to dress, but she ignores me. I find this to be rude even if she does “mean well.” Your observations, and this entire old wives tale, that you always catch a cold after being exposed to cold suffers from the fallacy of post hoc ergo propter hoc. This fallacy states that just because B happened after A does not mean that A caused B. Correlation does not equal causation. Now, there is no doubt that colds are correlated with cold weather. So, what might be the actual cause. The reason for this is that winter weather tends to bring lower humidity. This is especially true when you are indoors in a heated environment. Low humidity dries out the mucus membranes in our noses and sinuses, which in turn, makes them less resistant to viruses. This would also explain your observation about walking into an air conditioned room in the summer. Air conditioning not only cools a room but also lowers humidity. You get the same affect. So, it may be true that “bundling up” may help prevent colds if the person “bundles up” to where they cover the nose and mouth with a scarf. A scarf or some other covering will help prevent the nose and sinuses from drying out due to the low humidity, thus making them more resilient to viruses. However, just wearing a warm jacket probably won’t help. You’re better off drinking more water (another thing people don’t do in winter because they don’t sweat as much) than wearing a jacket.

    • Mike posted on 2012-03-11 at 14:58

      Your argument about jumping of a building is silly. In that example, we see a clear chain of causation: you jump off a building, gravity causes your body to accelerate, you impact that ground at a high speed, which causes major trauma and death.

      With the cold weather causes colds theory, we are missing a huge link in the chain of causation. What is it about cold weather that causes illness? No one has explained this. I don’t care how many people claim that dressing warmly has prevented them from getting sick – anecdotal evidence is not enough to establish causation.

      • Anna posted on 2014-08-28 at 14:04

        Heat is needed for the immune system to do its work properly. There was a study where mice with cancer all chose to be in hotter rooms. We also know that inflammation is associated with localised heat, and know that there is a chain of different immune cells that do their work in inflammation in different stages (see pic under inflammation). This could be a possible explanation of how heat helps a sore throat heal, or how it helps ward off a beginning sore throat. Whether it truly is a good explanation remains to be seen.

        Also, just an addition i thought of making to some of the comments: don’t forget that pathogens can live in people’s throats, so all some people will need to catch (or rather, succumb to their own) colds is to challenge their immune system somehow (dry mucosa, less sleep for the immune system to do its work, stress, other immune challenge), and this situation should be treated different from those where no pre-existing chronic infection is present.

        (I can’t find easily the study i mentioned above about mice in hotter rooms but here is something similar.)

      • Thanks Anna, that Nature article on mice was fascinating.

  32. Dr. Duvreau posted on 2012-03-17 at 10:27

    This information is new: The changing of seasons or temperatures affects the migration of birds which can carry viruses.

  33. Atac posted on 2012-04-16 at 03:01

    An opinion about the common flue and cold can be that the body in either environmental extremity causes a stress reaction in our body. The increased cortisol levels in the moment of stress is interesting factor in the pathophysiology which should be more closely investigated by the professions of interest.

  34. Dr T and the Women posted on 2012-05-13 at 03:57

    Being cold doesn’t make you sick. If the body’s immune system is weakened by being cold – you’re STILL being sickened by a virus, not from being cold. I’m sure your mother wasn’t referring to a weakened immune system.

    • It’s still good pragmatic advice if being cold weakens the immune system, as the evidence above suggests. And I’m not just saying that because it’s Mother’s Day.

  35. TheScriabin posted on 2012-05-30 at 02:13

    Yesterday I caught a cold. It was a beautiful sunny day though – 29 degrees – so I decided to go for a swim at our local pool. I went in the water for 20 minutes, then into the hot jacuzzi for about 5 minutes, then another 5 minutes in the steam room, and finally at the end I like nothing more than to refresh myself under a quick blast from the COLD shower for about 20 seconds.

    Today I feel absolutely horrible with all the usual cold symptoms – sore throat, runny nose, general dull-headedness etc.

    While the theories are interesting regarding the dryness of cold air affecting the mucus membrane/decreased white cell dispersal etc, I wasn’t out in the cold air, I was in a generally warm environment and only experienced the cold shower for a very brief moment.

    It might be partly related to shock of the sudden change in temperature – steam room to cold shower is quite a difference! I know little about the science apart from what I have learned above, but I still can’t see how it could have made me quite so ill.

    The most likely theory I suppose is because I was in a public place and that can sometimes be a breeding ground for germs.

  36. George (not a doctor, just a safety guy) posted on 2012-08-20 at 14:06

    Great article, with some excellent discussion.

    I’d like to add another anecdote to this page–noting that it’s not scientific at all, just another story.

    I live in Edmonton, which is characterized by cold, dry winters and hot, dry summers. The key word is dry. This summer, however, has been uncharacteristically rainy and humid. Not a wet monsoon, by any means, but we’ve had rain and elevated humidity every week.

    And after reading this article, I realized that I haven’t had a cold all summer!

    I can relate to the theory that inhaling cold air has a significant effect on respiratory tissues. When the temperature is -40, you have to breathe in very slowly to avoid a tingling sensation in your chest. If you exert yourself at that temperature, breathing can be painful.

    I write a monthly safety newsletter for company employees. I’m going to include some of the research cited here in a future article on working in the cold. I look forward to browsing this site further!

  37. Peebs posted on 2012-11-01 at 08:00

    This has been interesting to read, but I have to say I don’t believe that lowering the body temperature is the reason we get colds. I grew up on Lake Michigan. The lake never warmed up until September, but that didn’t keep us from swimming in it as kids. The general routine was to get in the lake until it numbed your lower body…and then finally plunging in to immerse the rest of your body (all the while screaming from the pain lol). Talk about reducing your inner core temperature!! We swam daily and never got sick.

    It’s been 40 years since I swam in Lake Michigan..but I rarely get a cold as an adult. Even when I am surrournded by co-workers who are hacking up lungs and sneezing without covering their mouths…I remain fairly ‘cold free’.

    So how do I do it? Maybe I just am not inclined to get colds…or maybe I have a few tricks up my sleeve to avoid those nasty germs! Here’s my top 10 list of how to stay healthy:

    1) Wet wipes are your friend! Use them on grocery cart handles and the front of the cart (where you pull it through at the check-out aisle). Oh..and always make sure the cashier touching ALL your things is not visably ill. I’ll get in another line if that cashier has a red nose and is obviously sick.

    2) People who sneeze without covering their mouth blow germs up to 6 feet away. If someone is near you and sneezes…don’t breathe for like 5 seconds, and close your eyes if possible. Germs love eyes and noses.

    3) When it’s cold, wear a scarf to keep those mucous membranes moist. Yes, I believe that is a BIG one as has been mentioned here.

    4) Keep hand sanitizer in your car. Use it when you get in from shopping or any exchange of money (like the fast food drive-through)

    5) Always wash your hands when you come home…and always before eating.

    6) When having to push buttons like on an elevator or keypad of sorts, use your knuckle…not your fingertip…because germs on fingertips love to get in your eyes and nose.

    7) Wipe down your phone, remote control, door handles etc every week or two.

    8) Doors that pull open? Use your pinky and next finger to open them. Those fingers don’t come into contact with your eyes / nose very often. Grab the door handle not in the middle..but at the top or bottom…where others rarely grab it.

    9) Public bathrooms are gross… roll out the hand towel/paper BEFORE you wash your hands. Turn off the faucet with the back of your hand and if practical, use the paper towel to open the door.

    10) Lastly, and probably one of the most important…eat fresh fruit daily and consume a decent amount of water.

    Do these things, and you will be amazed at how healthy you’ll stay year round. Your friends may laugh at you when you pull out the hand sanitizer before lunch, but you’ll get the last laugh when you’re handing them a kleenex for their runny nose!! (kleenex with lotion of course).

  38. Stevi posted on 2012-11-07 at 19:29

    What I’m struggling with is building immunity/latent cold virus, etc. How are they related?? I was always a sickly kid – low grade asthma, lots of allergies/colds. After becoming a nurse and getting better health insurance, I got my allergies treated, started Singulair & a corticosteroid…and ran for my antibiotic & prednisone 3-4 x/year when I had cold symptoms. Then I became convinced I needed to build up immunity – was miserable for a summer, felt great for a year – and have spent the last 14 days on the couch. Day 6 of antibiotic & past the 5 day Prednisone. Head aching miserably unless I use Affrin & then I have constant mucus running down my throat/out my nose. My mom just finished yelling at me for going horseback riding on day 4 of my symptoms (before I started meds…I was trying to tough it out), and I found your article while trying to prove to myself she was wrong. How can people get sick so many times without building up immunity to the viruses? Shouldn’t that aspect be considered when you are looking at a community of people at a particular time point?

  39. Kevin posted on 2012-12-03 at 00:07

    So we should live in isolation, in a place where it is wet and warm year round, stay bundled up, wash our hands, and do our best not to breathe… then we would have little to worry about.

    It seems we work too hard to avoid perils, and forget that we have lives to live. The is no such thing as life without risk. Wherever you live, whomever or whatever you come into contact with, there will be risk. Use common sense…listen to your mothers… and go spend some time with them. He is a fact; our time is limited….So make the most of it with those you care about. The risk is worth it.

  40. m.a.sheikh posted on 2012-12-22 at 08:25

    I do outdoor cycling in winter and summer for mainly exercise purpose.
    I am senior man.To differniate from hay fever,common cold and flu is very difficult.Symptoms are very similar with each other.If I get runny nose in winter due to one or more hours cycling that I think blood supply is reduced inside the nose and viruses get the chance to attack.

    In summer especially in fall pollens are the culprit for runny nose.Metobolic factors also do play the role ,always take care of your diet according to the season. Thanks.

  41. Eddie Barney posted on 2012-12-29 at 21:28

    If this were true, why don’t people who live in colder climates get sick more than those in warmer climates? I’ve lived in several places in my lifetime, some warm (Hawaii, Las Vegas,) some mostly cold (Alaska and Norway) and I didn’t seem to get any sicker in one climate than in another, despite my beliefs that I would. Just food for thought.

  42. Lizzie posted on 2013-01-01 at 18:57

    Hi, I am not a scientist at all – so forgive anything which is factually inaccurate in my post. I am 25 years old, work 60 – 100 hours a week, and am in fairly normal robust health in every way, apart from two triggers.

    I seem to suffer from “leisure sickness” where I get sick every time I take time off work, either extreme fatigue, headaches and dizzy spells, or cold/flu like symptoms. I have heard that this is caused by a sudden drop in my normally high adrenaline levels caused by stress.

    I also get cold like symptoms immediately after I have had any prolonged exposure to the cold (breakdown on the side of motorway in December, snorkelling in a cold sea etc).

    The reason that I actually give credence to these two theories (catching a cold from the cold, and leisure sickness) is because I am never ill otherwise. I have barely ever had to take a sick day off work, and these appear to be the only triggers to me getting sick.

    When I am off work I tend to see other people less as I am not in the office or visiting client sites, and just tend to stay in with my partner and read or watch movies. I get sick before leaving for holidays away from home, so it can’t be related to germs I wouldn’t normally come into contact with as far as I can see.

    So why do I get sick? The only two triggers that I see are getting very cold, and relaxing and slowing down when I get time off work. Is there scientific reason to believe/disbelieve in these two triggers as the cause.

    • I really don’t understand how relaxation could be a trigger for sickness. But as I’ve noted, I’m not a medical doctor and have no experience in this field.

  43. I agree, though in different words. Cold is a stressor added to the existing pollution stressors. Cold is temporary though and pollution can be chronic or permanent.

    Search “Dolan” “monoxide”. Colds/Flu are often misdiagnosed stove or boiler exhaust poisoning. Occurs in the winter because people close their windows, sealing in the exhaust. Large profits result for medical industry.

  44. Leucocyte and macrophage populations INCREASE greatly, according to measurements of leucocytes in lungs after air is breathed.
    See
    http://www.ersj.org.uk/content/12/4/825.full.pdf

    From that study (see paragraph ) one could further explore the theory that a disease response, such as wheezing or coughing, to cold air, is an abnormal response caused by chronic air pollution. All subjects in that study never previously experienced such disease from breath cold air. See first paragraph of “Study Design”.

  45. keith H posted on 2013-02-24 at 09:01

    regardless of the results and the effects, it does not seem that leaving your feet in ice water for 90 minutes is tantamount to not bundling up to go outside. I mean, if one decides to go outside when it is cold out, it is almost never to just sit around and do nothing. Venturing out in the cold is usually to engage in some type of recreation or travel, which both involve movement.

    I am searching the web to find evidence that casual exposure to the cold for normal amounts of time (waiting for the school bus, playing in the snow or going on a hike or similar) causes colds. This is the first article that I stumbled across that says it does, but the experiment to prove it does not seem applicable. Please, link me to experiments that would more closely demonstrate the scenarios that are associated with what you are saying your mom said was right.

    • Daniel posted on 2013-03-10 at 01:44

      Although I don’t suffer from any illness which directly hinders the immune system, (i did several tests) a couple of months ago i had a series of infections including Shingles which are typical of a weakened immune system.
      Although psychological stress factors may have contributed, the truth is that such factors were there previously and the series of infections I suffered only exhibited physical noticeable symptoms about 5 or 6 days after a short weekend getaway in a friend’s house. Unfortunately it was very cold place, temperature was always below water freezing point. To make things worse, the house was new and this was the first time anyone was staying overnight so no one was sure whether the aircon would be powerful enough to get by… turns out i wasn’t, and it was not a pleasant experience… i recall wondering whether i was going into hypothermia in the middle of the night.
      Well.. as earlier mentioned, on my return to warmer weather i developed shingles, bad sore throat and conjunctivitis between 5 and 14 days after i returned.

      After all I read and experienced, I believe mild cold weather may actually prevent that you contract airborne deaseases, not because of the weather itself but because people tend to stay indoors wih closed windows facilitating the spread of virus.. so if you’re outside in the cold and your immune system is not debilitated and you’re wearing enough clothes to prevent that your body cools down too much, then probably you’ll be better off.

      A good evidence of this is the practice in northern Europe of leaving babies outside in the cold for their naps when parents are indoors at home or in some shop… ya sounds scary… but that’s the consensual practice there.

      On the other hand if your immune system is slightly debilitated and you experience very cold weather that cools down your body, there is great likelihood you will contract diseases as there is plenty of studies that prove that immune system works better at higher temperatures.

      Afterall one of the primary mechanisms of defense against infections is fever.. even though there are those who argue it is harmful, there is much more evidence that it is beneficial, as it not only facilitates the immune system’s action, it also brings the body temperature to levels which are not easily tolerated by most virus and bacterias.

      So maybe the conclusion is, you should keep yourself warm and avoid staying indoor during winter time.

  46. Hans posted on 2013-03-25 at 23:56

    I came to this site, because I rarely get sick. I get the flu less than once a year. I fell asleep asleep without heat or a sufficient blanket- and it was an abnormally cold night. I was cold all night and woke to a very cold room. And a sore throat. (a virus feeling type- as 16 hours later I still have it). So it made me wonder, did the cold suppress my immune system or something? I googled and arrived here. Interesting discussion. Thanks

  47. Jessemy posted on 2013-05-19 at 14:16

    I suffered from flu-like symptoms everyday living in a colder part of the country since my childhood.
    Now, two years later, I am living in a tropical climate where it is still warm in winter, (does not decrease below twenty degrees celsius) and I no longer have flu-like symptoms. I spend more time indoors as I am in full time study.

    My eleven year old son’s acute attacks of asthma have decreased significantly as well. He now barely has an episode of asthma. We noticed this about two weeks after moving to Queensland.

    I live in Australia. We moved from western New South Wales to northern Queensland. We recently flew back to NSW to visit family. Within a few hours of landing my son and I became sick again. I experienced what I thought was the flu for the next five days I stayed there. My son had acute attacks which returned again. I took antihistamines while I was there as I thought it was hay fever although they didn’t work.

    When we flew back to QLD and within a few hours of landing and driving home with the windows down as it was a twenty four degree day, my flu disappeared , my son’s asthma issues noticeably decreased over the next couple of days. Due to this, I do agree with the cold temperature theory.

  48. Steve posted on 2013-07-03 at 20:21

    When exposed to cold my chances of catching a cold are greatly increased. I can almost feel my immune system lowered. It’s common sense,cold causes sickness more than the influence of virus’ which are always present.

  49. Anonymous posted on 2013-08-14 at 17:20

    I know that stress lowers the immune system. I wonder if the physical stress the ice cold water put on their bodies had something to do with the results of the experiment. Also, if you believe that cold will make you sick you are more likely to get sick.

  50. Jared posted on 2013-10-01 at 23:24

    No one mentioned winter swimming
    For example in certain areas of russia they dig a hole in the ice and then proceed to swim in the hole during the winter. I have seen people of all ages, including kids, doing this, they stay at 10 degree F in bikini or swim trunks then proceed to swim for few minutes on a 36 degree F water.

    While every theory about dry hair and cold shock would assume they are regularly sick the truth is that most of them never get sick, and I mean never. I know a russian girl who started winter swimming as a young child and she had the cold once then for 34 years she never had another cold again. I read the interview of this russian man who was always sick, 6 months a year of cold and sore throat and fever. Then he started winter swimming and haven’t catch a cold, sore throat or fever since.

    I can relate to this because I have always been a sick child. I was raised under a glass bell. No going outside if it’s too cold. If I had to go outside I needed to be covered in layers of clothes, always wearing a scarf and a cap. If I had a fever I needed to stay in bed, couldn’t take a shower because according to popular belief you need to sweat. The windows needed to be shut. I can still remember the unpleasant sensation of a stale room, all covered in sweat, stinking.

    And of course I was always sick. I would recover for the cold or flu just to take another one immediately. From september to march I was always miserable and sick.

    Just few years ago I got so tired of all this staying inside if it’s cold, covering yourself up and said to myself that since I would get sick anyway I would at least stop torturing myself that way. So I threw away all my scarves, started going out even if it was freezing, would still walk outside even if I cautch a cold or fever, started playing cold weather sports like volley on the snow and ice skating and I have never been as healthy as that year, except from a couple of colds (and I can remember exactly the moment I caught them after a couple of sick young kids sneezed toward my face) I didn’t have any sore throat, any burning eyes, any fever, any running nose.

    • Jared posted on 2013-10-01 at 23:35

      Can anyone find this study?

      According to a study by the Army Research Institute of Environmental Medicine, says Dr. Belilovsky. “Researchers examined the immunological responses to cold exposure and found that acute cold exposure, such as going outside without a jacket, actually appears to activate the immune system”

      Well, if this is true, there goes the hypothesis that cold exposure weakens the immune system

      • Jared posted on 2013-10-01 at 23:59

        Here is another interesting study I haven’t seen mentioned

        Gwaltney, J.M.Jr., and F.G. Hayden. 1992. Response to psychological stress and susceptibility to the common cold. New Engl. J. Med. 326:644-645

        It seems that the strenght of the immune system has nothing to do with catching a cold or not. When exposed to the cold virus healthy people get a cold regardless of a strong immune system or weather.

      • Your winter swimming anecdotes are interesting, but documentation of controlled experiments would be nice. Perhaps different people react to cold in different ways, and only people who react well to cold develop a habit of winter swimming?

        I couldn’t find the Army study, but I did find Gwaltney and Hayden 1992. This study seems similar to references 6-8 in Dr. Eccles’ paper which I briefly addressed at the end of this comment. It’s interesting, but subjects in those trials were directly exposed to the cold virus. In Dr. Eccles’ experiment, subjects weren’t exposed to the cold virus; they were just more likely to develop cold symptoms after their feet were immersed in cold water. That seems consistent with this sentence from Gwaltney and Hayden 1992: “If prechallenge stress has an important effect on rhinovirus colds, we believe it is more likely that it influences the development of illness rather than the acquisition of infection.”

  51. Simon posted on 2013-10-31 at 14:16

    I would propose to redo the experiment. With a larger set of people and a different setup:
    * Explain the test is to measure perceived discomfort during a length of time (20minutes).
    * Let group A walk bare foot through a snow covered area for 20 minutes.
    * Let group B walk bare foot over a surface with small stones for 20 minutes.
    * Afterwards interview them on perceived discomfort (we’re not too interested in those results).
    * After a few days call all participants and ask how they are doing / check if they have a cold.
    This way the participants don’t know what you’re really looking for, they won’t be influenced by the experiment to think they might get sick.

  52. yaincou posted on 2014-11-17 at 01:39

    I came to this place by searching an answer to my question. Since i am young, till now im 28. I am experiencing something that i can’t explain. I get flu or sick whenever I’ll exposed to a cold area. Or even only an electricfan. And whenever I’ll put up my blancket, and warmth a little my flu will be gone. Its like i need a higher temperature. Can i cure this or any suggestions what should i do. Thanks

  53. paula posted on 2014-12-21 at 07:08

    I had been fighting a cold with success for a week or so (sore throat would come and go). However yesterday I went to the firing range to qualify for my carry permit and it was a cold and DAMP day. Well I started feeling sick while I was there (for a couple of hours) and this morning I have a full blown chest cold…. so I would venture the opinion that the cold combined with the damp will make you sick if your immune system is somewhat compromised.

  54. Rachel posted on 2015-01-04 at 13:37

    cold does make you sick.
    Every year when its cold like clockwork I get sick.
    every. freaking. year.

  55. Jolly panchal posted on 2015-09-24 at 19:47

    As Rachel said Something new with me
    Same time last year I got sick and happening again this year, exact same time
    Getting ready for the Fall/Winter sickness….

  56. nak posted on 2015-10-17 at 10:56

    Cold weather decreases the body’s ability to fight off infections. viruses and bacteria replicate at a higher rate, increasing the chance of developing a strand that has not yet been properly resisted by populations. as someone catches the full blown infection (due to a mutation), that infection then spreads to other members of family, then to outsiders, and to everyone else. so in other words, cold weather increases average mutation rates in populations for all bacteria and viruses, making it much more likely that an outbreak will occur in winter.

  57. Zed posted on 2015-10-25 at 09:47

    Unconvincing study with N=180, with a few potential issues (the cold was self reported, not diagnosed; putting your feet in ice is not the same as running out in cold weather; vague experiment design; missing health history of subjects). But how about the study with N=millions going on year-round in cold regions like Scandinavia? Do people there get the cold virus more often than in other places? In fact, some mothers over in Sweden do not seem to over-hype the cold weather much for their babies, and purposefully put their newborns outside (and no, they don’t stick their little feet in ice):
    http://www.bbc.com/news/magazine-21537988

    I am not saying that your mom is not right, I am just saying that my mother-in-law cannot be right…the issue is more complex. Recent studies suggest that it’s the airway’s lowered temperature that encourage any existing rhinovirus strand to replicate the most:
    http://www.pnas.org/content/112/3/827.abstract

    But, a localized infection in the nose does not always mean getting the cold as we know it. So why some people get the cold while others don’t, is the real question. Maybe exposing our babies to cold weather early on is the answer, after all, and maybe it is our mothers who are predisposing us to be “babies” in the presence of a cold breeze.

    If it is the airway’s temperature that matters, then I think covering one’s mouth is most important, an advice my dad has been telling me all along (not in the context of cold, though).

  58. JamesTK posted on 2015-11-19 at 12:55

    It’s far simpler than all the blogs here. In relatively colder temperatures viruses and bacteria travel more efficiently through the air. Couple that with the crowding indoors during cold weather and you have the perfect conditions for passing viruses and bacteria from person to person. In the end, you can be at any temperature and still not get sick because you must be exposed to a virus or bacterial infection to “catch a cold.”

  59. Anonymous posted on 2015-12-02 at 01:54

    Listen, everybody: every time I get cold, I get sick. If I don’t get cold, I stay healthy. That’s all I need to know.

    Cold=sickness. No cold=no sickness.

    Stay warm.

  60. Tim posted on 2015-12-27 at 23:40

    I think another big factor is that my nose doesn’t run in the summer. But being out in the cold causes my nose to run. I wipe or blow my nose with a tissue 5-10 times an hour and I am sure I get some on my hands. I consider myself to be more hygenic than average. I wash my hands 10-15 times a day but that would seem excessive for most of the population. So IMHO,

    Cold weather = more fluid leakage = more exposure to pathogens.

  61. Massey in Bermuda posted on 2016-01-23 at 06:20

    I enjoyed all this conversation about cold weather. No cold weather does not make one sick. Yes cold weather can exasperate ill making pathogens. Yes hot can to. Wet can to, dry can to. I believe that my body is spoiled and responds to consistency of tempature, circulation, and comfort of nerves, emotion and preference of intake. My personal self is hardwired this way and i found over the years I am more susceptible to ill fealings when I’m out of my comfort zone too long for my sensibilities. I have traveled a lot over my lifetime. As long as my comfort zone was up kept and I moved some other place where I am in my zone before it was to late; I could enjoy a long span of wellness. Because if I tried to weather it too long, I found it was likely that I would get ill and though I could build up my threshold, I would not be back to 100% until I moved from there. I found that a gentle circulation of a ceiling fan could make a difference for me, even in air-conditioning and some other things that had to be present in combination for my sense of wellness to last. One stray could and usually would lead to something going wrong. Thank you Lott for this discussion

  62. Christopher Esposito posted on 2016-07-30 at 06:34

    I agree with mostly everybody here and should have listened to my grandmother. Well I did as a child!
    lol… Anyway‚growing up I would read scientific columns saying it’s all a myth and I can tell you with first hand experience these scientists were wrong. Anytime I feel cold or I don’t properly dress myself for cold weather‚ after about a week I would get sick. It perfectly makes sense‚ cold weather weakens your immune system just as when it is a rainy season can cause sinus and upper respiratory infections. So take good care of yourselves. Wear warm clothes when it is cold and cover your nose & mouth during winter & rainy seasons. I certainly should follow my own advice! lol…

  63. Daniel M posted on 2016-11-26 at 17:44

    The real advice from mom should be wearing a respirator and goggles. No exposure to the virus means no sickness.

    Also, the study you posted does not have as good as a methodology IMO than these two controlled studies. These studies actually inoculated the subjects with the virus and showed cold does not have any impact:

    http://aje.oxfordjournals.org/content/68/1/59.extract

    http://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJM196810032791404#t=articleTop

    Also, from a previous commenter, you asked for proof that cold strengthens the immune system:

    In Sweden, it’s common practice to let small babies take naps outdoors in the cold. It has been shown that these babies end up more resistant to disease and that they sleep deeper and more soundly.

    http://jultika.oulu.fi/files/isbn9789514296673.pdf

    Also daily routine with a bucket of cold water over the head keep children strong and healthy.

    http://siberiantimes.com/healthandlifestyle/others/news/like-ducks-to-water-in-the-snow-keeping-kids-healthy-siberian-style/

    These results indicate that acute cold exposure has immunostimulating effects

    https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/10444630

    Review of many previous studies showing “there is no support for the concept that cold exposure depresses immune function”.

    https://www.researchgate.net/publication/11001091_Cold_exposure_Human_immune_responses_and_intracellular_cytokine_expression

  64. beckboo posted on 2016-12-04 at 05:51

    I’ve lost the thread – this disucssion is so long. For what it’s worth, I get sore throats and colds when I jog in the winter aong the beach in SE England, despite my body being so hot my face is red and sweating. Last winter I stopped jogging and regularly took saunas that alternate with freezing cold baths (alternating every 10 minutes, 5 times) and I got no colds, flu, sore throats. My feeling is that it was the breathing in of cold air that caused the colds when jogging. I similarly get ill when I sleep close to the dragty window in winter. This would suggest that core body temperature and air temperature should be considedered as separate factors. Surely susceptiblity is also afn important actor to consider – state of the lungs (I had whooping chough as a small baby) …

    I daren’t enter into this debate the homeopthic approach to susceptiblity, but there is, at it goes, a homeopathic remedy that specifically treats colds that are caused by cold feet! I used it on my children and it works!

  65. George (other George, a public health guy) posted on 2017-05-11 at 00:11

    The most common pathophysiological model puts forward that lowered humidity is the cause of increased rates of respiratory viruses.

    However, Australia’s flu season coincides with its winter months, which also happen to have much higher levels of rainfall and humidity. In summer many places are extremely dry and humidity drops to about 10%.

    Either the viruses work differently in Australia, or the model has flaws.

  66. Alwayscold posted on 2019-06-15 at 12:25

    I’m so glad to stumble across this post and see I’m not alone. I can honestly say that as soon as my body gets cold, even through just a cold breeze or if my feet are cold…I will get an instant cold, be sneezing and have a blocked nose. If anyone else gets this I would be interested in what they do to overcome this.

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